Independents and Democrats prioritize affordability, but Trump’s trade policy could push costs even higher
The Big Picture
Last week, President Trump sent markets into a frenzy by announcing 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, along with an additional 10% tariff on China. However, in less than 24 hours, he paused the tariffs on Mexico and Canada for 30 days after reaching an agreement with both countries to combat fentanyl trafficking.
Yet, the pause is temporary, and Trump remains committed to tariffs. In 2018, he posted on X calling himself the “tariff man”, and he recently asserted that tariffs on the European Union would happen "pretty soon."
The question is: Does this economic strategy align with what independent voters want?
Zooming In
Voters Want Leadership That Addresses Economic Concerns
A recent poll conducted by the Independent Center revealed that economic stability—not tariffs or culture wars—is the priority for most Americans:
- 59% of independents believe a moderate, bipartisan approach is the best way to help citizens achieve the American Dream.
- Nearly 50% of Democrats and independents prefer a politician who works with both sides of the aisle over one who aligns strictly with their party.
- 81% of Democrats and 78% of independents rank lowering prices and inflation as a top priority.
- Both groups feel unheard in Washington, fueling frustration with partisanship and a desire for cross-party cooperation.
These findings suggest that Trump’s trade policies, which could increase costs, directly contradict what voters want—affordable prices and economic stability.
The Risk of Economic Fallout
Since the November election, affordability remains a top concern. Prices for essentials like gas and groceries continue to strain American households.
However, Trump’s proposed tariffs could drive prices even higher, potentially alienating the very demographics that sent him back to the White House. Tariffs are effectively taxes on American consumers, making imported goods more expensive and fueling inflation.
At the same time, America’s global leadership is at risk. As Trump pushes tariffs on allies, nations like Canada and Mexico may strengthen trade ties with China instead, diminishing America’s influence in global markets.
Independent Lens
Independent voters backed Trump in 2024 because he seemed better positioned to tackle affordability and inflation. However, his trade policies threaten to raise prices instead of lowering them.
The electorate is hungry for leadership and bipartisan economic solutions. If the administration continues prioritizing tariffs and divisive policies over real cost-of-living solutions, it risks alienating the very voters who made Trump’s victory possible.
Subscribe to our newsletter to stay informed on how economic policies impact independent voters.
