The latest Independent Center survey reveals growing dissatisfaction and a shift toward independent candidates.
The Big Picture
Nebraska voters are seeking more independent and bipartisan representation, expressing dissatisfaction with the current political landscape, according to an exclusive survey conducted by the Independent Center. The survey, which polled 400 likely voters in Nebraska from September 27 to October 1, 2024, reveals a strong desire for change and a sense that voters' voices are not being heard in Washington, DC.
Zooming In
Independent candidate Osborn leads in Nebraska Senate race
In the Nebraska Senate race, Independent candidate Dan Osborn holds a 5-point lead over Republican incumbent Deb Fischer, according to the survey (FS5A). When asked how they would vote if the election were held today:
- Dan Osborn (Independent): 47%
- Deb Fischer (Republican): 42%
- Unsure: 10%
This result suggests a significant shift in voter preferences, as Nebraska has traditionally been a reliably Republican state. The strong showing for an independent candidate indicates that voters are looking beyond party labels and seeking fresh perspectives.
Trump maintains edge, but independent voters could swing election
In the presidential race, Republican Donald Trump maintains a lead over Democrat Kamala Harris in Nebraska, but the margin narrows when a third-party option is introduced (GS3, GS4). In a head-to-head matchup:
- Donald Trump (Republican): 53%
- Kamala Harris (Democrat): 42%
- Unsure: 5%
However, when an independent candidate is added:
- Donald Trump: 48%
- Kamala Harris: 38%
- Independent Candidate: 7%
Notably, 49% of Nebraska voters said they would consider voting for a viable, politically independent presidential candidate who is willing to work with both sides of the aisle (GS4A).
Overwhelming demand for bipartisan representation
Nebraska voters express a clear preference for candidates who work across party lines. When asked what type of candidate would best represent them and their neighbors in Congress (PS1):
- A candidate who works with both parties: 54%
- A Republican-aligned candidate: 28%
- A Democrat-aligned candidate: 14%
- Unsure: 4%
Additionally, 65% of respondents believe there should be more options beyond just Republican or Democrat candidates (LA11A).
Voters feel unheard by elected officials
Despite the desire for bipartisan representation, a majority of Nebraska voters (56%) do not believe their voice and opinions are being heard in Washington, DC (PS2).
- 31% of respondents think their voice would be more clearly heard if their elected representative was a moderate independent (PS3).
Data Snapshot
- Independent Senate candidate Dan Osborn leads Republican Deb Fischer by 5 points (47%-42%).
- Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris in Nebraska 53%-42% in a head-to-head matchup.
- When an Independent candidate is included, Trump’s lead narrows to 48%-38% with 7% support for the Independent.
- 54% of Nebraska voters prefer candidates who work with both parties.
- 65% want more choices beyond just Republican or Democrat candidates.
- 56% of voters feel unheard by their representatives in Washington.
Independent Lens
Nebraska voters are clearly signaling that they want leaders who prioritize solutions over partisanship. The growing support for independent candidates and bipartisan cooperation highlights the desire for political reform. If candidates and policymakers want to engage and earn the trust of independent voters, they must show a commitment to working across party lines and addressing voters' real concerns.
Want to dive deeper into the data? Download the complete toplines from the Independent Center's October 2024 Nebraska Survey and explore the full range of questions and responses.
