The Independent Center's recent survey reveals generational and ideological divides on Social Security and Medicare.
The Big Picture
At the Independent Center, we polled a nationally representative sample of 1,002 registered voters in our January 2024 National Voters Study. This survey explored voters’ perceptions of entitlement programs, national debt, and the long-term sustainability of Social Security and Medicare.
As the United States grapples with a growing national debt, entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare remain a focal point of political debate. Our data highlights substantial differences in perception across age groups, political ideologies, and geographic areas, emphasizing the complexity of reaching a consensus on reform.
How Do Americans Perceive the Impact of Entitlement Spending?
When asked, “Do you believe that a large portion of our national debt comes from unfunded Social Security and Medicare spending obligations?” responses revealed a clear generational divide:
- 49% of 18-24-year-olds believe unfunded entitlement programs contribute significantly to national debt.
- Only 14% of individuals aged 65+ share this belief.
Do Americans Expect to Receive Medicare Benefits?
When asked, “Do you expect to receive Medicare benefits in your lifetime?” responses followed a generational trend:
- 94% of respondents aged 65 and older expect to receive Medicare benefits.
- Only 46% of 18-24-year-olds believe they will receive Medicare benefits, reflecting skepticism about the program's long-term viability.
What Should Happen to Entitlement Programs?
We asked respondents, “What do you think would be the best path forward regarding entitlement programs such as Social Security, Medicaid, and Medicare?” Three options were presented:
- Reform how entitlement programs are paid for and distributed.
- Modernize the system while maintaining benefits.
- Maintain the current policies.
The results showed younger age groups favor modernization and reform, while older individuals prefer maintaining the status quo.
How Worried Are Americans About Medicare's Future?
When asked, “How worried are you to hear that the Medicare Hospital Insurance Trust Fund will be depleted in 2031?” generational differences emerged:
- 62% of 18-24-year-olds reported being “very worried” or “somewhat worried.”
- 83% of those aged 40-49 and 79% of those 65+ expressed concern.
Independent Lens
The generational and ideological divides revealed in this survey illustrate the challenges in addressing entitlement reform. Independent voters are uniquely positioned to push for solutions that balance long-term financial sustainability with social responsibility.
Entitlement programs are not just policy matters—they reflect national values. By engaging in constructive dialogue and advocating for independent solutions, independent voters can help shape the future of Social Security and Medicare.
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