Key takeaways from Pennsylvania voters on the upcoming elections.
The Big Picture
At the Independent Center, we polled 500 registered voters in Pennsylvania to understand their views heading into the 2024 elections. Our survey explored voter sentiment on the presidential and Senate races, approval ratings of Congress, and whether Pennsylvanians feel their voices are being heard. View the full survey toplines here.
Zooming In
Pennsylvania Senate Race Results
We asked Pennsylvania voters, “If the Senate election were held today, how would you vote if your options were Democrat Bob Casey Jr. or Republican David McCormick?”
- Casey Jr.: 51%
- McCormick: 39%
- Undecided: 10%
Casey Jr. leads by 12 points, but with 10% of voters undecided, the race remains competitive.
Pennsylvania Voters Lean Toward Harris
When asked, “If the Presidential election were held today, how would you vote if your options were Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris?” respondents leaned toward Harris:
- Harris: 49%
- Trump: 45%
- Undecided: 7%
With 7% undecided, the race could still shift.
Pennsylvania Voters Strongly Dissatisfied With Congress
Pennsylvania voters overwhelmingly disapprove of Congress's performance:
- 66% disapprove
- 27% approve
This discontent spans party lines, reflecting frustration with partisanship and gridlock.
The Data is Clear – Pennsylvania Voters Want Centrist Politicians
When asked about their preferred congressional candidates, Pennsylvania voters strongly favored bipartisanship:
- Candidate who works with both parties: 51%
- Republican-aligned candidate: 23%
- Democrat-aligned candidate: 19%
These results suggest voters are tired of political extremism and seek leaders who prioritize governance over party loyalty.
Do Pennsylvania Voters Believe Their Voice is Being Heard?
Pennsylvania voters expressed significant discontent with their representation in Washington:
- Only 19% feel heard
- 53% believe their opinions are ignored
This aligns with the preference for bipartisan candidates and suggests a demand for more responsive leadership.
Independent Lens
Pennsylvania voters want candidates who address real issues, not just party agendas. Their strong preference for bipartisanship and frustration with Congress highlights the growing demand for practical governance.
As the 2024 election nears, independent voters will be looking for leaders who listen and take action. Candidates who embrace centrist policies may have the best chance to win over undecided voters.
Get the full toplines from the Independent Center’s Pennsylvania Swing State Survey and join the movement to stay informed.
