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Harris Leads Trump by 5% in Michigan

Here are the key takeaways from Michigan voters on the upcoming elections according to the Independent Center's most recent poll.

The Big Picture

At the Independent Center, we polled 500 registered voters in Michigan to understand their views heading into the 2024 elections. Our survey explored voter sentiment on the presidential and Senate races, approval ratings of Congress, and whether Michigan residents feel their voices are being heard. View the full survey toplines here.

Zooming In

Michigan Senate Race Results

Michigan Senate Race Polling Results

We asked Michigan voters, “If the Senate election were held today, how would you vote if your options were Democrat Elissa Slotkin or Republican Mike Rogers?

  • Slotkin: 48%
  • Rogers: 38%
  • Undecided: 15%

Slotkin holds a 10-point lead, but with 15% undecided voters, the race remains fluid.

Michigan Voters Lean Toward Harris

Presidential Polling Results in Michigan

When asked, “If the Presidential election were held today, how would you vote if your options were Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris?” respondents leaned toward Harris:

  • Harris: 48%
  • Trump: 43%
  • Undecided: 8%

With 8% undecided voters, the race is still competitive.

Michigan Voters Strongly Dissatisfied With Congress

Congress Approval Ratings in Michigan

Michigan voters overwhelmingly disapprove of Congress's performance:

  • 67% disapprove
  • 24% approve

Frustration with congressional inaction spans across party lines.

The Data is Clear – Michigan Voters Want Centrist Politicians

Bipartisanship Preferences in Michigan

When asked about their preferred congressional candidates, Michigan voters strongly favored bipartisanship:

  • Candidate who works with both parties: 49%
  • Democrat-aligned candidate: 24%
  • Republican-aligned candidate: 21%

These results suggest that Michigan voters value compromise and reject political extremism.

Do Michigan Voters Believe Their Voice is Being Heard?

Do Michigan Voters Feel Heard?

Michigan voters expressed significant discontent with their representation in Washington:

  • Only 25% feel heard
  • 53% believe their opinions are ignored

This aligns with the preference for bipartisan candidates and suggests a demand for more responsive leadership.

Independent Lens

Michigan voters want candidates who focus on real issues, not just party agendas. Their strong preference for bipartisanship and frustration with Congress highlights the growing demand for practical governance.

As the 2024 election nears, independent voters will be looking for leaders who listen and take action. Candidates who embrace centrist policies may have the best chance to win over undecided voters.

Get the full toplines from the Independent Center’s Michigan Swing State Survey and join the movement to stay informed.

State Polling
Swing States
Swing Voters

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